Labor Seminars Amsterdam

Speaker(s)
Patrick Puhani (IZA, Germany)
Date
Tuesday, 25 June 2013
Location
Amsterdam

To estimate the effects of large cuts in pensions on labor force participation, we exploit three natural experiments in which such cuts affect a group of mostly low-skilled repatriated ethnic German workers. In two of these natural experiments, the pensions were cut by between 8 and 16%, yet, according to our regression discontinuity estimates, there was no significant delay in retirement age (with estimated confidence interval bounds of -72 and +49 days). In the third natural experiment, the workers were given an incentive to avoid a pension cut by retiring earlier, but we find no significant effect for earlier retirement. All these results are consistent with low-skilled workers in Germany being frozen in a corner- solution equilibrium in which the optimal choice is to retire as early as possible. This German case is thus an example of older low-skilled workers’ facing few incentives to supply labor in European labor market/social security institutions.