Principal component analysis of equity options on Dow-Jones firms reveals a strong factor structure. The first principal component explains 77% of the variation in the equity volatility level, 77% of the variation in the equity option skew, and 60% of the implied volatility term structure across equities. Furthermore, the first principal component has a 92% correlation with S&P500 index option volatility, a 64% correlation with the index option skew, and a 80% correlation with the index option term structure. We develop an equity option valuation model that captures this factor structure. The model allows for stochastic volatility in the market return and also in the idiosyncratic component of equity returns. The model predicts that firms with higher betas have higher implied volatilities, and steeper moneyness and term structure slopes. We provide a tractable approach for estimating the model on a large set of index and equity option data on which the model provides a good .t. The equity option data support the cross-sectional implications of the estimated model. Joint with Mathieu Fournier and Kris Jacobs.
MAY092014
The Factor Structure in Equity Options
Amsterdam Econometrics Seminars and Workshop Series
- Speaker(s)
- Peter Christoffersen (University of Toronto, Canada)
- Date
- Friday, 9 May 2014
- Location
- Amsterdam