Rotterdam Seminars Econometric Institute

Speaker(s)
Michael Massmann (VU University Amsterdam, the Netherlands)
Date
Thursday, October 16, 2014
Location
Rotterdam

This paper investigates the asymptotic properties of the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator of structural parameters in a stylised macroeconomic model in which agents are boundedly rational and use an adaptive learning rule to form expectations of the endogenous variable.
In particular, when the learning recursion is subject to so-called decreasing gain sequences the model does not satisfy, in general, any of the sufficient conditions for consistent estimability available in the literature. The paper demonstrates that, for appropriate parameter sets, the OLS estimator nevertheless remains strongly consistent and asymptotically normally distributed.
(Coauthor: Norbert Christopeit (University Bonn))