We find that in a world with moral hazard and noise traders, investor sentiment should affect a firm’s employment policy. Consistent with the model’s predictions, we show that higher US sentiment leads to: (1) higher employment growth worldwide; (2) lower labor productivity, as it hardly affects real value added growth; (3) higher (lower) real wage growth in countries with high (low) human capital; (4) greater labor instability during financial crises, especially in industries that are more dependent on external finance. The results suggest that sentiment has real effects and also lend support to the view that finance has a ‘dark side’.
APR022014
Investor Sentiment and Employment
Rotterdam Brown Bag Seminars in Finance
- Speaker(s)
- Maurizio Montone (Erasmus University Rotterdam)
- Date
- Wednesday, April 2, 2014
- Location
- Rotterdam